Are Luxury Home Sales Slowing? Insights on Luxury Real Estate in 2026

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"As 2025 unfolded, reports of a shift in the luxury home market began to surface. Real estate statistics showed a number of key metrics on the decline, including total home sales and median sale prices.

As we enter 2026, experts predict that the factors fueling the decline will continue to have a notable impact. High interest rates will reshape behavior that was based on easy access to cheap money, and those who have the cash to buy will be looking beyond excess to secure something that is truly exclusive.

“By 2026, luxury real estate will be fully out of the cheap money era,” says luxury real estate developer Michael Nouri. “Rates may come down from the highs, but free capital is gone. For the top of the market, that shift is healthy. It removes speculation and forces discipline. Weak projects disappear, and strong assets stand out.”

Nouri is the visionary founder of The Nouri Group, which is redefining luxury real estate development in 2026 on Belle Meade Island in Miami, Florida. With a passion for creating globally inspired, wellness-focused estates, Nouri leads the design and development of homes priced from $22 million to $35 million and higher. Nouri’s approach combines entrepreneurial leadership, architectural innovation, and a commitment to creating living architecture — spaces that harmonize modern luxury with nature and wellness.

“In 2026, ultra-high-end buyers will be looking for control, security, and long-term positioning,” Nouri says. “What’s changed is how selective they’ve become. Today, capital moves toward places with a clear rule of law, political stability, predictable taxes, strong healthcare, and real security. That’s why wealth keeps concentrating into a small number of safe haven cities and waterfront regions, and quietly leaving places that add uncertainty.

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